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I understand that QBs are harder to predict than DE/OLB's and that we're talking about QBs. My only point was the cost we would pay to get JG. I understand your point about the 4th overall value vs. the value of the picks we would give up via trade. My biggest concern is the fact that we would only get him for 1 year. If he decides to leave after 2017, then we're out those picks that we surely need. Way too risky and costly IMO. Now if you're telling me JG still has 3 years left on his rookie deal, then cool.
In the end, the only thing that matters is who Pace thinks has the most potential moving forward, whether in FA, draft, or trade for JG.
1) Trade for JG and give up picks. a) He does well and he leaves after the season. Pace will probably get fired. b) He plays well and he signs a long term deal. Fortunate and well done Pace. c) He plays poorly and he is gone after the season and we lost the picks for 1 season of poor play.
2) Pace's guy is projected to be drafted near the top of the board. I agree-we should do whatever it takes to get his guy. He plays on a cost-friendly rookie deal and we see if we have something. If not, the QB class in 2018 is much better anyway. Draft another QB.
3) Pace's guy is Mahomes, Webb, Falk, Rudolph, etc. Draft Garrett/Allen, and do whatever it takes to get his guy, including trading back into the 1st round. He plays on a cost-friendly rookie deal and we see if we have something. If not, the QB class in 2018 is much better anyway. Draft another QB.
1. If Garapollo plays well tag him, or even better extend him, there is no chance he leaves.
2. If you draft a QB high and he sucks and you draft another in 2018, admitting you blew a top 5 pick, you will be fired.
3. Drafting the 6th best QB in a bad QB draft seems like a risk.