**OFFICAIL** Bears 2024 Regular Season News & Schleisse - FTO Preferred - No ALTS! Derailing Is Discouraged!

SugarWalls

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I think they looked at every player that ran the 40 both at the combine and also their pro day. They then took the 40 times as reported at each and determined the difference was 0.05 but has been declining. So unless the guys running the pro days made the adjustment I don't think the author did. In any event, I don't think they are drastically different at this point as it seems somewhere at adjustment as been made to better align pro day times with combine times.
Are you still this confused that the entire time I’ve been talking about FAT vs hand times? Are you faking it or just this dense? I linked you to the zybek study literally citing the difference and you go back to arguing about something else. I think you have a complex.
 

remydat

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Are you still this confused that the entire time I’ve been talking about FAT vs hand times? Are you faking it or just this dense? I linked you to the zybek study literally citing the difference and you go back to arguing about something else. I think you have a complex.

The topic started in relation to JSN running at his pro day and not the combine. The suggestion was he was doing so because he would be able to time faster. My point was the NFL knows pro days are faster and adjusts accordingly so the point about FAT vs hand times is largely moot. So yes I know you were talking about FAT vs hand times. I am saying that 0.2 doesn't matter because in reality the difference between pro day and combine times is not actually 0.2. Maybe at some point it was 0.2 different but by the time it actually is reported the difference is actually only about 0.05 so 4 times less.

So to conclude, no I don't think JSN skipped the combine because he thinks he can get up to a 0.2 second bump at his pro day. NFL teams are smarter than that. I think he skipped the combine because he didn't have a chance to put in the speed work most prospects put in to run the 40 because of his injury.
 

Butkus34

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Jerry Rice ran in the 4.5’s.
Larry Fitzgerald ran in the 4.6’s
Anshan Boldin ran a 4.7.

How did Kittle last until the 5th round??
And Shaheen taken in the 2nd. If I remember right, he was mostly a blocking TE in college as they ran a lot si he didn't have the stats or tape
 

bamainatlanta

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And Shaheen taken in the 2nd. If I remember right, he was mostly a blocking TE in college as they ran a lot si he didn't have the stats or tape
@Hawkeye. thoughts? How did GK slip into the 5th round??
 

number51

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Keep in mind there are some guy’s who ran this fast at pro days or just weren’t invited to the combine. (This list is combine attendees only). But it just illustrates a blazing 40 isn’t needed.

That is very cool info, but it does not tell the whole story. Haveing a speed guy on the outside opens up things for the backs and other receivers. Even if he doesn't go for 1000 yards he changes the way a D lines up and the coverage scheme.
 

Bearly

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JSN isn't running the 40 because he's not very fast to begin with. Watching his film, he probably runs in the mid 4.5's if he's lucky. He's a super slot, not an outside guy. I'd nab him if he drops but I wouldn't go out of my way to get him.
So you don't think he'll run one on his pro day?
 

Bearly

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because unless the pro days set up FAT timing systems he will be guaranteed to run 0.2seconds faster as hand times are regularly off by 0.2 seconds, most shlubs don't know this despite me trying to educate everyone year after year.
Even assuming that you're right and I don't since pro days are better controlled than in the past, if you know that, don't you think that GMs do? Or can know if it was a fast or slow track he runs on? This isn't mock draft data. It's a real NFL draft and your assuming a casual fan knows more about the process and how to interpret an alternate 40 time than a GM or the guys timing him. Time will be very close to representative but even if it weren't, the guys drafting him will know how fast he is.
 
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Bearly

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From Zybeks study:

Hand Time v. FAT Time Data​

Analysis:
As detailed in the previous section, most variables were minimized or eliminated. The timer that measured the difference in the Hand time to the FAT time was started when the athlete lifted their hand and stopped when the coach at the 40 yard line depressed the start button on the stop watch. (These times were recorded for all athletes both 40 yard runs.)

As illustrated in Figure 3, the measured differences between the hand held and the FAT timer ranged from 0.10 seconds to 0.25 seconds. The time differences were evenly distributed between 0.10 and 0.25 seconds, with the average being 0.175 seconds.


This is just from their study, but in my experience it’s typically 0.24. Don’t have any studies to promote this but 10 years of experience.
That's a decade old. Hand held will always lose a bit of time but it won't affect much. If you look at the 2021 draft (no combine) where a there were a bunch of multiple timings on players, both electronic and hand held, the difference seems a hair less than a 0.1 sec. and GMs are fully aware of it.
 
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legendxofxlink

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Jerry Rice ran in the 4.5’s.
Larry Fitzgerald ran in the 4.6’s
Anshan Boldin ran a 4.7.

How did Kittle last until the 5th round??
Cause Pace had Sheheen conviction boner. Dude couldn’t even turn around to catch the ball without falling over..
 

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