Official Epstein Thread (Epstein baseball side prez/Hoyer is GM)

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FirstTimer

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Nice to see you could see the sarcasm in my post. Do I need to make that green?

Seriously, how are your eyes and stats better than mine? Mine correlate to runs better than yours, guaranteed. Now I will admit that I don't have great eye sight and that I don't wear my glasses, but I can see the TV just fine. And neither of us are professionals, so I think that we're pretty much the same in our lack of knowledge.


.

Your stats tell us that Soriano is good at defense.

Your stats suck. Go back to not posting.
 
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FirstTimer

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What tells us that Soriano is bad at defense then? Show me how your stats are better than mine.

Have you ever..ever watched a game of baseball where Soriano played?

I hate to break this to your stupid ass but defensive metrics are incredibly suspect and any metric that tells me Soriano is even tolerable as a MLB LF'er is immediately broken.

My eyeball test>>>>>>>>>>>Your shitty defensive metric.
 

Captain Obvious

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Have you ever..ever watched a game of baseball where Soriano played?

I hate to break this to your stupid ass but defensive metrics are incredibly suspect and any metric that tells me Soriano is even tolerable as a MLB LF'er is immediately broken.

My eyeball test>>>>>>>>>>>Your shitty defensive metric.

So you are still stuck on the eyeball test? If the eyeball test is so good, why were advanced metrics even made? If my one metric is so bad, why do so many others agree?
 

FirstTimer

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If the eyeball test is so good, why were advanced metrics even made?
Because the world needs ditch diggers?


If my one metric is so bad, why do so many others agree?
338-0503223526-nazi.jpg


Never underestimate the stupidity of people.
 

Captain Obvious

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Because the world needs ditch diggers?



338-0503223526-nazi.jpg


Never underestimate the stupidity of people.

Except it isn't people, it's numbers. The numbers are telling us that Soriano is good. See, I have evidence backing my point. What do you have? Something you saw, or thought you saw?
 

FirstTimer

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Except it isn't people, it's numbers.
:obama:

That people subjectively set value to and evaluate.

Defensive metrics aren't scientific fact. They aren't even mathematical "stats". They are theoretical equations...

They can be and in this case are highly suspect and wrong. If they weren't you wouldn't have a constant movement to improve them.

I want to act surprised that you don't understand this. But then again you're all of 12 years old.


I also have "numbers" telling me Soriano is a bad fielder. Such as errors. But you will quickly disregard that number showing how it's flawed etc. See where this is going?.......................Are you catching on at all?
 

Captain Obvious

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:obama:

That people subjectively set value to and evaluate.

Defensive metrics aren't scientific fact. They aren't even mathematical "stats". They are theoretical equations...

They can be and in this case are highly suspect and wrong. If they weren't you wouldn't have a constant movement to improve them.

I want to act surprised that you don't understand this. But then again you're all of 12 years old.


I also have "numbers" telling me Soriano is a bad fielder. Such as errors. But you will quickly disregard that number showing how it's flawed etc. See where this is going?.......................Are you catching on at all?

I never said they were fact. I don't put much weight on them. However, collectively they can give you a very good idea. Especially 5 seasons worth of data that tells you the exact same thing.

They are wrong because you say so? Just because they aren't perfect does not mean that they are wrong. I agree that they are no where near pitching and batting stats, but like I said when virtually every metric says the same thing for 5+ years, it's hard to argue with that. That kind of consistency in data is much, much, much more reliable than your eye test.

Except the problem with your stat is that it take into account Soriano's worst aspect of fielding. It doesn't take into account the things he does well. Whereas stats like UZR, RZR, etc. do.
 

FirstTimer

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I don't put much weight on them.
:rolling:




Just because they aren't perfect does not mean that they are wrong.
It actually does. It means they can be wrong. Which is the entire god damn point.


I agree that they are no where near pitching and batting stats, but like I said when virtually every metric says the same thing for 5+ years, it's hard to argue with that
Not if the metric is and has been flawed for 5 years.

Using a broken metric over and over again doesn't make it any less broken. It just means the information is getting compounded together incorrectly year after year after year.


That kind of consistency in data i
Not if the data is acquired by using a broken metric.


It doesn't take into account the things he does well. Whereas stats like UZR, RZR, etc. do.
And UZR disregards and cant measure his horrible paths to baseballs/instincts on flyballs and too easily discounts errors.

Blah blah blah blah blah
 

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Back to the topic: Theo>You
 

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:rolling:





It actually does. It means they can be wrong. Which is the entire god damn point.



Not if the metric is and has been flawed for 5 years.

Using a broken metric over and over again doesn't make it any less broken. It just means the information is getting compounded together incorrectly year after year after year.



Not if the data is acquired by using a broken metric.



And UZR disregards and cant measure his horrible paths to baseballs/instincts on flyballs and too easily discounts errors.

Blah blah blah blah blah

Okay, but you can use any advanced metric and it will show you the same thing. As for it means they can be wrong, yes it does. I never said it didn't. But it doesn't 100% mean that. You have shown me nothing to think that it is wrong.

Sure UZR is flawed, every stat, metric, whatever is. But errors are the most overrated thing ever. Would you rather have a player who makes an error while getting to 9/10 balls or a player who makes no errors while getting to 6/10 balls?

I'm not saying that these stats are perfect, they are far from it. But what they do all have in common is that Soriano is at least an average defender.
 

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The source doesn’t have a perfect read on what the compensation will be (few do), but the names he’s been hearing are Matt Szczur, Jay Jackson, and Ryan Flaherty. The source cautions that it’s not likely the Cubs would send all three, and he’s not sure whether that would mean additional employees would be coming over from the Red Sox.
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Keep it Jay Jackson and Flaherty + money.

That is over enough for Theo to bring as many as he wants.
 

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Bud Selig wants this to be wrapped up by the World Series. Let's hope this is motivation to get the damn deal done.
 

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Okay, but you can use any advanced metric and it will show you the same thing.
Do you think it's a coincidence then that defensive metrics are constantly changing and even then they always come with the caveat of "you need 3 years worth of data"?

Are you able to grasp this concept at all?

As for it means they can be wrong, yes it does.

Defensive metrics are absolute dog shit.

I don't buy any of them in any substantial form.

Even stil DSR>UZR.....and that's really not saying much since they both suck.

. You have shown me nothing to think that it is wrong.
:obama:

Watch Soriano play the damn game.

Look at what themetric tells you.

Realize it's wrong.

?

Profit.



Sure UZR is flawed
That's putting it lightly.

So great. The metric you use to say Soriano isn't terrible is "flawed".

Awesome work.


Would you rather have a player who makes an error while getting to 9/10 balls or a player who makes no errors while getting to 6/10 balls
:obama:

Soriano's range isn't that good as you imply above. Plus Soriano's range is fucked by the fact that he is sterrible at juding fly balls, hops, routes, etc. That is one of Soriano's biggest issues(along with being just awful at cacthing the ball) in the field and the metrics do not take that into account. Basically the metrics are devaluing or not measuring the two things Soriano is the worst at. So obviously that stat is going to be skewed.

Soriano actually runs himself into errors.


Would I rather have a player with great range who can't judge a fly ball to save his life/ is error prone or a player with marginal range who doesn't make errors?

Hmmmm....
 
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