brett05
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I've never discounted the value of the intangibles of the game. It absolutely helps to minimize the mistakes and allows players to get the most out of using their talents.I was firmly on your side in this argument when we all discussed it in ST and early in the season. I'm still in your camp that statistically managers don't win many ball games. I also said at that time that what the great managers do better than others is what they do in the non baseball sense of the word manager. In this sense I think Maddon has allowed his team to win games they normally wouldn't. These guys believe in themselves and believe they can win every day. Maddon understands that all players needed to be handled in different ways and that it especially holds true with young players. He also understands his team. When they were pressing early in the summer he brought in a magician to much derision and yet it helped get their minds right. When they were pressing a week ago and had started showing up 6 and 7 hours before game time he locked them out of the clubhouse and cancelled BP. None of these things come out of a book and I would expect a different set of tools to be used next year with the younger players gaining experience and the team's goals having escalated even further than this year.
You're never going to be able to evaluate a good manager's contributions to wins and losses with a metric and in game decisions tend to balance out which is why most analytical baseball sources put a manager's impact at +/- 3. I'd agree with this as it pertains to in game moves. How players are handled in terms of psychology and team building though cannot be ignored. If you're looking at the difference between Maddon and Renteria I'd argue that there's a huge difference. If you say that Maddon has maximized his quantifiable influence at say 3 games (based on the fact they'll likely finish 20 games better than last year's record) I would say that he's worth another 7-9 games in how he runs his ballclub. The other 8-10 games of improvement have come from the obvious upgrades in talent.
I've always read/heard the =/- 5. Maddon has made mistakes this year. The Cub fans on this board have said so. Others, myself included have pointed out the bad calls with infield in and batting the pitcher 8th. He's also made some tremendous moves like pulling Castro. I applaud him for that too. Nothing he's done has moved him from the top 5-8 managers in the game for me.
That said, I've not read/heard one player say Rick wasn't on this path too. I'm not sure Rick wouldn't have had this success as well this season. Basically what I have seen, talent placed aside, that Maddon and Renteria for their respective years have done about the same job. That's all.