msadows
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Nice dream but nah. He does remind a lot of Manning but he's still hasn't played an NFL game. He's only run single read in college and is not quick with his progressions. It's difficult to know, like it was with Watson, if he'll be able to read a full field quickly enough the NFL and unlike Watson, he's not as elusive.
I'm not dumping on the guy, just saying he's not absolutely a sure thing. If we could get him for 2 1s and change, I do it but that won't happen. This thread will probably be necroed in a couple years with folks saying we should of traded 3 1s for him because he likely succeeds. Still doesn't make it the right thing to do before the fact. Good GMs know what they don't know and if you look at the current NFL , here's the QBs taken #1 with the 1st pick over the last 2 decades.
Tim Couch
Michael Vick
David Carr
Carson Palmer
Eli Manning
Alex Smith
JaMarcus Russell
Matthew Stafford
Sam Bradford
Cam Newton
Andrew Luck
Jameis Winston
Jared Goff
Baker Mayfield
Kyler Murray
Joe Burrow
Jury is still out on the last 2 though they appear to be very good choices but look at the rest and who outside of Luck is worth that bounty and ultimately, Luck wasn't either because of his injury and that his team never made an SB appearance, Getting dings need to be considered and they are also more common with lanky QBs. Burrow likely timed faster than Lawrence will and is likely better at navigating a pocket. Perhaps Trevor will be as well but Joe has been exceptional at it for the amount of reps he's had. This league has earned it's Not For Long moniker and 3 #1s is too much.
History lesson. Only 2 sure thing QBs had 3 #1s traded for them, Ryan Leaf and RGIII.
Rank current NFL QBs and see how many were taken #1. Not yet elite but only Murray is in the photo and nobody traded up to get him.
Exactly. No matter how good a prospect is, he's still a prospect. It's not a sure thing. Also, for all you know he could have an injury and never be the same(Drose style).
There are so many great QB's in the league, no reason to trade away the farm for a prospect. Thats how you end up being the texans.
I'd rather trade up for Wilson, which is much more realistic. If he goes at around 8, and we end up picking in the 12-14 range(which is seeming realistic, unfortunately). That would take at most this years first and next years 2nd, you could possibly get it done with this years 1st and 3rd, then filler.