Your basing this comparison off of now 4 IP in his first start of his 2nd season and after just 13 starts last season
A high majority of "control" or "finesse" pitchers get figured out because they don't have the hammer, or the mid-high 90s fastball to help them, so they rely on location.
I'm basing it off the trend. There's only one Greg Maddux, and he was an exception to the rule. Teams now have game tape on this kid, so he doesn't have the element of surprise the way he did last summer, just like Randy Wells in 2010 and beyond.
If he were truly something special in the making, he wouldn't be 5th in the rotation behind recycled garbage in Travis Wood and a 1/2 year wonder (last year) in Jason Hammel.
I'm not completely writing him off. 80%. He gets 2 more starts from me.