I didn't say I had confidence in Pace. I said that all the negative things about this franchise aren't a big factor. If they give Dak the most money, he'll sign. If they give the Texans the most picks, they'll trade. If they convince Watson they made a mistake in the draft and he can take them from 8 wins to contenders, he'll accept.
That being said, this would be different because Pace would be going after an established QB instead of a drafted one. And I know, he signed Glennon and traded for Foles, but those were all moves made based on Mitch Trubisky being the QB of the future. Trubisky is not a factor anymore. If the Bears go trade or FA, then Pace's QB evaluations aren't really a factor at that point either.