I think people are scared of missing on a QB at #3 rather than missing on a QB at #35. When you could just as easily miss on any other position at #3.
I think that it is more of people hearing that QBs are getting very poor grading from NFL sources.
As an example:
Deshaun Watson just beat Alabama in the national championship. in the weeks prior to the game, Walt and I surveyed teams around the league to see where their initial draft grades were for Watson. Two playoff teams told me they had third-round grades on Watson. One said it was on the low end as a third- to fourth-rounder. A high-ranking personnel man on a playoff team told Walt that they had a third-round grade on Watson. Two other teams said they had second-round grades on Watson.
Another team thought that Watson still could be a late first-round quarterback, similar to Teddy Bridgewater, because of the dire need at the position across the NFL.
Read more at
http://walterfootball.com/nfldraftrumormill#7JrGiDvyGElzaTW0.99
Talk like this has to be taken with a grain of salt because it is an initial grade (and most grades change a lot from how until draft time - Wentz was said to maybe make it as high as early 2nd round at this time last year), because the source could and probably has already started their smoke screen machines, and because Walter's source could be anything from a janitor of the team to a fan of the team.
So we continually hear that it is a weak QB class (one site saying that the only QB with a 1st round grade (and that is a mid-first round grade) is Kizer. So when we are sitting at #3, we have a chance at one of the blue chip players in the draft (Garrett, Allen, Hooker) or a chance at one of the top 3 QBs which are rated poorly by team personnel (or team janitors?) at the moment, we see perceived value in drafting the tier 2 QBs in the 2nd.
Drafting a 2nd round QB at #3 is worse than drafting a 3rd round QB at #35.
Of course, some QBs will move up the boards as draft time draws nearer. That usually happens be it for the smoke from the smoke screens start clearing, the Kipers of the world starting to hear from teams of a more real value of the players, or too many teams being too desperate for a starting QB thus raising the whole QB class where it should never be.
I have no idea where these QBs should go. Watson, as an example, is extremely confusing to me. He had a ton of yards and TDs against Alabama with its defense full of NFL worthy players for two championship games in a row. However; his accuracy that he showed in Monday's game was quite poor especially early.
Seeing that accuracy is probably the most important thing in a QB, what does that say about Watson? And, no, accuracy does not improve from college to the pros. It gets worse.
What makes Aaron Rogers so good? His running ability (which he has) or his pin-point accuracy at all levels?
I hope that the Bears see every positive and negative thing from all 6 players (3 blue chips and 3 QBs) during the draft process and then have a clear-cut favorite left when they get to their pick at #3.