What would you do with Alfonso Soriano?

What do you do?

  • Start him in LF every day

    Votes: 5 27.8%
  • Bench/platoon guy

    Votes: 3 16.7%
  • Release/trade

    Votes: 10 55.6%

  • Total voters
    18

Captain Obvious

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1.2 what? what stat are you using here

he had a good wOBA...i honestly think thats a better judger of offensive contribution than persay some of the other metrics...when you look at how it is created

I'm using WAR. His batting value was 1.2 runs.

He had a good wOBA? His wOBA was like .325... that's below average.


defensive stats are subject to distortion by context and sample size as well...you do realize this CO right?

thats the thing about comparing campana and johnson to soriano...

Do you for a minute think that Soriano is a superior defender to either of those two? Nah, I didn't think so.
 

CODE_BLUE56

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I'm using WAR. His batting value was 1.2 runs.

He had a good wOBA? His wOBA was like .325... that's below average.


relative to the cubs..it was good for 4th on the team behind castro,ramirez, and pena(guys that had 500 ABs or more...)

its not whats good relative to the league...its whats good in comparison to the Cubs OF...never said Soriano was a good player did I?



Do you for a minute think that Soriano is a superior defender to either of those two? Nah, I didn't think so.
Not the point..
 

Captain Obvious

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relative to the cubs..it was good for 4th on the team behind castro,ramirez, and pena(guys that had 500 ABs or more...)

its not whats good relative to the league...its whats good in comparison to the Cubs OF...never said Soriano was a good player did I?




Not the point..

You are saying that Soriano is our 3rd most valuable OFer. If a player(600 PA's) has neutral value at everything, hitting, running, defense, position, he'll be a 2 win player. Soriano wasn't a 2 win player. Soriano plays LF -7.5. He is about neutral at defense, he is worth maybe 1 run with the legs, and about 1 run with the bat. So let's say that next year he gets 600 PA's. He's at 12.5 runs with position factored in. Let's say he gets that run with his legs. 13.5 Maybe worth 2 runs with his legs. 15.5 then let's say that he goes up to 5 runs with the bat. He's basically back at 2 WAR. That's the optimistic side. You're trying to tell me that Tony Campana and Reed Johnson over the course of a full season couldn't manage to be worth 7.5 runs with their legs, bat, and defense? I call shenanigans. Hell, Darwin Barney managed to be worth 2.2 WAR this year. That's with having a bat that was worse than Koyie Hill's. RJ and Campana both would have pretty good defensive ratings in LF, neither are a liability with their legs, and while both would probably have below average bats, I don't think for a second that they couldn't manage a 2 WAR, especially if Barney can do it.
 

nwfisch

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My favorite teams
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Darwin Barney has a worse bat than Koyie Hill :rofl:
 

dabynsky

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As much as we hate on Darwin Barney, that's not actually true :lol:

That doesn't mean I want him batting leadoff like Sveum suggested apparently yesterday (to be fair I guess the statement was that DeJesus and Barney were the two guys he would guess now).
 

Rice Cube

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That doesn't mean I want him batting leadoff like Sveum suggested apparently yesterday (to be fair I guess the statement was that DeJesus and Barney were the two guys he would guess now).

Unfortunately you can only stick one #8 hitter in the #8 spot.
 

dabynsky

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Unfortunately you can only stick one #8 hitter in the #8 spot.

Yes but that doesn't mean you have to take one of the lowest OBP guys and stick him at the leadoff spot either...
 

Rice Cube

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Yes but that doesn't mean you have to take one of the lowest OBP guys and stick him at the leadoff spot either...

I'm sure that was just something he said out of the blue to appease the meathead fans. There's almost no way that on a competitive team you put Barney in leadoff. Or Campana for that matter unless he learns to bunt better.

In a competitive season I think Theo and Jed and whoever else will send him suggested lineups to maximize success rate. They wouldn't just let Sveum start the first inning with three outs 90% of the time :lol:

Alternatively this could mean that they are actively looking to tank 2012 to get the #1 pick. Just they haven't flat out said it. Could also be a way to show the fans that all their favorite scrappers actually suck ass.
 

dabynsky

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I'm sure that was just something he said out of the blue to appease the meathead fans. There's almost no way that on a competitive team you put Barney in leadoff. Or Campana for that matter unless he learns to bunt better.

In a competitive season I think Theo and Jed and whoever else will send him suggested lineups to maximize success rate. They wouldn't just let Sveum start the first inning with three outs 90% of the time :lol:

Alternatively this could mean that they are actively looking to tank 2012 to get the #1 pick. Just they haven't flat out said it. Could also be a way to show the fans that all their favorite scrappers actually suck ass.

It would be fun to watch this team hustle and play good defense and suck. Unforunately I don't think they are truly committed to that plan since Campana might not even make the team given the depth of OFs they have.
 

CODE_BLUE56

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You are saying that Soriano is our 3rd most valuable OFer. If a player(600 PA's) has neutral value at everything, hitting, running, defense, position, he'll be a 2 win player. Soriano wasn't a 2 win player. Soriano plays LF -7.5. He is about neutral at defense, he is worth maybe 1 run with the legs, and about 1 run with the bat. So let's say that next year he gets 600 PA's. He's at 12.5 runs with position factored in. Let's say he gets that run with his legs. 13.5 Maybe worth 2 runs with his legs. 15.5 then let's say that he goes up to 5 runs with the bat. He's basically back at 2 WAR. That's the optimistic side. You're trying to tell me that Tony Campana and Reed Johnson over the course of a full season couldn't manage to be worth 7.5 runs with their legs, bat, and defense? I call shenanigans. Hell, Darwin Barney managed to be worth 2.2 WAR this year. That's with having a bat that was worse than Koyie Hill's. RJ and Campana both would have pretty good defensive ratings in LF, neither are a liability with their legs, and while both would probably have below average bats, I don't think for a second that they couldn't manage a 2 WAR, especially if Barney can do it.

LOL...i pointed out earlier that this is an example of why WAR has issues...the whole metric can get skewed by position among other things

again darwin barney above ryan howard and nelson cruz? why?

perhaps we should refer to a good point that was made in the article FT posted

Is WAR the new RBI? | It's About The Money

"A few sluggers are swift, slender middle-infielders. Most of them aren’t. To paraphrase Reggie, there are lots of drinks and precious few straws. If you get left without one, no amount of Range Factor, WHIP, or baserunning acumen can save your season. Just ask the Padres, or the Mariners."

i agree...i believe that WAR and other metrics do a good job or incorporating baserunning,leg values, and alot of other things to help try to give a more in depth perspective on a player's value..but they overdo it in that regard...and this hurts sluggers like fielder and hmmm...SORIANO...at the end of the day i think there's a medium between a superficial view of a player's value(meaning judging on principle stats..saying a player is great because he has a high RBI count or something like that) and the metrics view....

baserunning,leg values, all of the other stuff is important...thats almost a given...but in comparison to slugging....they have should have less overall weight...why in the world do you think the cubs and so many other teams wanted fielder? because he's a great baserunner or a 5 tools guy? no...slugging

soriano was 50th in slugging pct...in one of his worst seasons....additionally a reason for his lower slugging pct is that he was an inconsistent base hitter

also, as i pointed out earlier by the way you extrapolated to give a seemingly more accurate judgement of campana's value...these metrics are open to subjectivity and fluctuate... there isn't one single standard here...look at barney's baseball reference WAR vs. his fangraphs WAR for an extreme example...on baseball reference campana and soriano had exactly the same WAR

you could pretty much pick some correlative number and call say its someone's WAR using subjective extrapolations

oh, and btw on fangraphs campana is projected to have a 1.1 WAR in 2012,reed johnson 0.4,

and soriano 1.5
 

Rice Cube

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I think getting rid of Soriano isn't going to be easy no matter what so arguing about whether he's better than the rest of the scrubs is kind of useless, unfortunately. If they want to trade him, especially if Soriano is insistent on going to a contender, he has to play every day anyway. If not, he'll simply be released. I don't see a middle ground, although I also don't know how much the Cubs are willing to just have Soriano ride the bench when that time comes.
 

CubbieBlue

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They may as well keep him in LF for now. Hopefully he comes out of the box strong hitting homers and driving in runs and they can find a new home for him in the AL. If he doesn't, figure out a platoon situation with him.
 

Lex L.

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I'm surprised Ricketts hasn' tried to put Soriano to work on his family plantation by having him do laundry.
 

CODE_BLUE56

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They may as well keep him in LF for now. Hopefully he comes out of the box strong hitting homers and driving in runs and they can find a new home for him in the AL. If he doesn't, figure out a platoon situation with him.

looks like someone's back from the dead:D
 

Rice Cube

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They may as well keep him in LF for now. Hopefully he comes out of the box strong hitting homers and driving in runs and they can find a new home for him in the AL. If he doesn't, figure out a platoon situation with him.

I'd like to see him playing every day for that purpose. If playing against RHP, just leave Soriano in LF and put LaHair at 1B. If playing against LHP, I feel like they could either keep Soriano in LF and put somebody (Baker?) at 1B, or put a superior defensive OF in (like Reed Johnson) while Soriano plugs in at 1B. Yeah yeah, I know there are naysayers, but I feel like just about anybody can play 1B until they're forced into DH duty.

If nothing else, it would be incredibly entertaining for me :lol:
 

CODE_BLUE56

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I'd like to see him playing every day for that purpose. If playing against RHP, just leave Soriano in LF and put LaHair at 1B. If playing against LHP, I feel like they could either keep Soriano in LF and put somebody (Baker?) at 1B, or put a superior defensive OF in (like Reed Johnson) while Soriano plugs in at 1B. Yeah yeah, I know there are naysayers, but I feel like just about anybody can play 1B until they're forced into DH duty.

If nothing else, it would be incredibly entertaining for me :lol:

i think the situation with LHP you brought up with lahair may be more or less solved when rizzo comes up...though i know that he hasnt had alot of experience with LHP..which is partly why he's stayed in the minors...

but with a little more experience rizzo will be a guy that can easily hit against a lefty or a righty

i like the idea...but part of the reason soriano is out in LF is because he doesnt have the defensive intangibles nor the physical tools to really play infield anymore....idk about him playing 1B...my opinion though
 

Rice Cube

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i think the situation with LHP you brought up with lahair may be more or less solved when rizzo comes up...though i know that he hasnt had alot of experience with LHP..which is partly why he's stayed in the minors...

but with a little more experience rizzo will be a guy that can easily hit against a lefty or a righty

i like the idea...but part of the reason soriano is out in LF is because he doesnt have the defensive intangibles nor the physical tools to really play infield anymore....idk about him playing 1B...my opinion though

1B is probably the easiest position to play. Outfielders are shuttled to 1B all the time when they get older and their range decreases. Soriano was a terrible infielder but I'm fairly sure he'd be able as good as Prince Fielder at the fielding part :D
 

CODE_BLUE56

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1B is probably the easiest position to play. Outfielders are shuttled to 1B all the time when they get older and their range decreases. Soriano was a terrible infielder but I'm fairly sure he'd be able as good as Prince Fielder at the fielding part :D

valid point....the thing is soriano did somewhat the opposite...go from infield to outfield because his infield defense was really bad

if your hypothetical were to occur...it would have to be in a small sample size....i dont trust even soriano playing defense at 1B for more than a few games...

though 1B is pretty easy to play...it is also arguably one of the most important...and it hurts a little when you have castro at SS throwing to you....who still commits a lot of errors

it would be entertaining though
 

Rice Cube

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valid point....the thing is soriano did somewhat the opposite...go from infield to outfield because his infield defense was really bad

if your hypothetical were to occur...it would have to be in a small sample size....i dont trust even soriano playing defense at 1B for more than a few games...

though 1B is pretty easy to play...it is also arguably one of the most important...and it hurts a little when you have castro at SS throwing to you....who still commits a lot of errors

it would be entertaining though

It's important in that the 1B has to receive all the throws during ground ball plays and has to figure out where he's supposed to be on cut-off plays, but otherwise you're talking about a guy who doesn't really move around a lot and just plays catch. You can't compare the 1B to the other infielders, and you need a certain amount of range and defensive talent to play OF. So moving Soriano from 2B to LF was because 2B is a much more important defensive position and much harder to play. Depends also on whether you buy into the theory of the defensive spectrum as well.

I agree it wouldn't be ideal, but I think the Cubs could benefit from giving Soriano a few reps at 1B just to see what they have. Especially in a rebuild year.
 
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